Geopolitical Risk Political stability, regime type, conflict proximity, sanctions exposure, and news sentiment across 250 countries.
Countries scored
214
Data year: 2025
Median risk
4.9/10
Below global average
Deteriorating
6
Rising vs last year
Nations that shape the global order — permanent UNSC members, nuclear states, and regional hegemons whose foreign policy decisions ripple worldwide.
# Country Score Level Trend 1 Iran 8.2/10 critical → 2 China 6.7/10 high → 3 Turkey 6.7/10 high → 4 Russia 6.5/10 high → 5 Israel 6.1/10 high → 6 India 6.0/10 high → 7 Brazil 4.8/10 elevated → 8 United Kingdom 3.2/10 moderate → 9 United States 3.2/10 moderate → 10 France 3.0/10 moderate → 11 Germany 2.4/10 low → 12 Japan 2.0/10 low →
Scheduled events in this category with AI-generated scenario analysis.
May 11, 2026 · in 22d OPEC+ Ministerial Meeting
May 16, 2026 · in 27d Chinese Politburo Standing Committee
May 31, 2026 · in 42d NATO Summit — Foreign Ministers
Jun 7, 2026 · in 49d G7 Summit
Jun 15, 2026 · in 57d UK General Election Debates
Sort by: Overall risk Regime Stability Conflict Proximity Social Pressure Governance Deficit Fastest deteriorating Alphabetical
# Country Score Level Trend Top Driver 1 Yemen 8.9/10 critical → Regime Stability: 9.1/10 2 Sudan 8.6/10 critical → Governance Deficit: 8.8/10 3 South Sudan 8.5/10 critical → Governance Deficit: 9.1/10 4 Syria 8.5/10 critical → Regime Stability: 8.9/10 5 Chad 8.4/10 critical → Social Pressure: 8.8/10 6 Myanmar 8.3/10 critical → Regime Stability: 8.9/10 7 Iran 8.2/10 critical → Conflict Proximity: 8.9/10 8 Somalia 8.2/10 critical → Governance Deficit: 9.0/10 9 Afghanistan 8.1/10 critical → Regime Stability: 8.9/10 10 Niger 8.0/10 critical → Social Pressure: 8.5/10 11 Burundi 7.9/10 critical ↑ Social Pressure: 9.1/10 12 Mali 7.9/10 critical → Regime Stability: 8.9/10 13 DR Congo 7.8/10 critical → Conflict Proximity: 8.6/10 14 Libya 7.7/10 critical → Regime Stability: 8.6/10 15 Palestine 7.7/10 critical → Social Pressure: 8.2/10 16 Burkina Faso 7.6/10 critical → Regime Stability: 8.7/10 17 Ethiopia 7.6/10 critical → Conflict Proximity: 8.6/10 18 Haiti 7.6/10 critical → Governance Deficit: 8.5/10 19 Pakistan 7.6/10 critical → Regime Stability: 7.9/10 20 Central African Republic 7.5/10 critical → Conflict Proximity: 8.6/10 21 Eritrea 7.5/10 critical ↑ Governance Deficit: 9.0/10 22 Uganda 7.5/10 critical → Conflict Proximity: 7.7/10 23 Venezuela 7.5/10 critical → Governance Deficit: 9.0/10 24 Cameroon 7.4/10 high → Governance Deficit: 8.1/10 25 Iraq 7.4/10 high → Governance Deficit: 8.0/10 26 Guinea 7.3/10 high → Regime Stability: 8.2/10 27 Algeria 7.2/10 high → Conflict Proximity: 8.6/10 28 Egypt 7.2/10 high → Conflict Proximity: 8.6/10 29 Mozambique 7.1/10 high → Governance Deficit: 7.8/10 30 North Korea 7.1/10 high ↑ Governance Deficit: 8.8/10
Show all 214 countries