Resources Forecast

Resource Risk

Energy import dependency, food reliance, water stress, and supply-chain chokepoint exposure scored to reveal resource security and trade vulnerability.

Countries scored

101

Data year: 2025

Median risk

5.0/10

Above global average

High risk

Score ≥ 6.0

Critical

Score ≥ 7.5

Deteriorating

Rising vs last year

Energy Security Food Security Water Stress Supply Chain

Resource Powers

Top energy producers, commodity exporters, and resource-dependent economies whose supply disruptions move global prices.

Resource Powers
#	Country	Score	Level	Trend
1	United Arab Emirates	4.0/10	moderate	↓
2	Indonesia	3.9/10	moderate	↓
3	China	3.8/10	moderate	↓
4	United States	3.2/10	moderate	↓
5	Brazil	3.0/10	moderate	↓
6	Canada	2.6/10	moderate	↓
7	Norway	1.5/10	low	↓
8	Australia	1.4/10	low	↓

Sort by:

Resources risk by country
#	Country	Score	Level	Trend	Top Driver
1	Djibouti	8.1/10	critical	↑	Food Security: 9.8/10
2	Niger	8.1/10	critical	↑	Food Security: 9.8/10
3	Tajikistan	7.6/10	critical	↑	Food Security: 8.7/10
4	Lesotho	7.1/10	high	↑	Food Security: 7.8/10
5	Malta	7.0/10	high	↑	Energy Security: 9.7/10
6	Andorra	6.9/10	high	→	Food Security: 7.4/10
7	Central African Republic	6.8/10	high	↑	Food Security: 7.2/10
8	Jordan	6.8/10	high	→	Food Security: 7.1/10
9	Eswatini	6.6/10	high	↑	Food Security: 6.7/10
10	Zimbabwe	6.5/10	high	↑	Food Security: 6.5/10
11	Lebanon	6.4/10	high	→	Supply Chain Exposure: 6.5/10
12	Montenegro	6.4/10	high	→	Food Security: 8.0/10
13	Panama	6.4/10	high	→	Supply Chain Exposure: 6.5/10
14	Senegal	6.3/10	high	→	Food Security: 6.5/10
15	Honduras	6.2/10	high	→	Food Security: 6.7/10
16	Kuwait	6.2/10	high	↑	Supply Chain Exposure: 6.5/10
17	Egypt	6.1/10	high	↓	Food Security: 7.0/10
18	Luxembourg	6.1/10	high	→	Energy Security: 6.9/10
19	Moldova	6.0/10	high	→	Supply Chain Exposure: 6.5/10
20	Botswana	5.9/10	elevated	→	Supply Chain Exposure: 6.5/10
21	Latvia	5.9/10	elevated	→	Supply Chain Exposure: 6.5/10
22	Singapore	5.9/10	elevated	→	Energy Security: 9.2/10
23	Serbia	5.9/10	elevated	→	Supply Chain Exposure: 6.5/10
24	Portugal	5.8/10	elevated	→	Energy Security: 6.2/10
25	Bahrain	5.7/10	elevated	↓	Supply Chain Exposure: 6.5/10
26	Georgia	5.6/10	elevated	→	Supply Chain Exposure: 6.5/10
27	Lithuania	5.6/10	elevated	→	Supply Chain Exposure: 6.5/10
28	Bosnia and Herzegovina	5.5/10	elevated	→	Food Security: 6.2/10
29	Ethiopia	5.5/10	elevated	→	Supply Chain Exposure: 6.5/10
30	Oman	5.5/10	elevated	↑	Supply Chain Exposure: 6.5/10

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This is one of five risk dimensions. Visit the Risk Dashboard to see all five dimensions together, or check the Country Risk Radar for individual country deep-dives.

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